Monday Morning Line

To contact us Click HERE
Sam Smith - Here are how our presidential election projections have worked out over the past 12 years:

2000: 1% error
2004: 3% error
2008: 0.8% error
2012: 1.14% error

So far as I have been able to determine, we were the first to use aggregated moving averages - a trick I picked up from stock analysis -  with Real Clear Politics starting to use them in 2004. It's simple, works and frees your time even if it's not as impressive as some prefer.